Why Hurricane Sandy is so extremely dangerous

October 29, 2012

I just posted the following comment over at TitusOneNine, trying to give a summary of why Hurricane Sandy is so unusual and EXTREMELY dangerous.  I hope it helps people to prepare and to pray.  I will try to post more prayers later…

One of the things I think people fail to appreciate with this storm is its EXTREME LOW PRESSURE.

The latest recon flight (14:00 GMT Oct 29) has just found pressure of approx 940mb.

The record low pressure for the area was previous 946mb in the “Long Island Express” hurricane of 1938.  Other areas like Baltimore or Richmond, the previous record low pressures are around 960 – 970.  Don’t know yet for Boston or further north, still need to research.

So basically this is like a “Category 3” or worse storm, even though it “only” has “Category 1” winds.  It has the potential to do severe damage.

The other very unique thing about this storm is its massive size.  Last night the hurricane was producing tropical force winds in Bermuda and North Carolina (830 miles apart) SIMULTANEOUSLY!!!  Unheard of.
I *think* Sandy is now the largest storm on record in the Atlantic.  (I need to verify that, but she is certainly in the top 3.)

What that means is twofold.
1) Sandy is pushing a HUGE HUGE HUGE amount of water forward.  Her storm surge potential is currently estimated by the NHC / NOAA to be at a level of 5.8 on a 0 – 6 scale.  WORSE THAN KATRINA.

2) There will be SUSTAINED tropical force winds over most of the area (all of NJ, NYC, Long Island, Philly, CT, etc.) for probably 24 hours or more.

Finally, it is the ANGLE OF SANDY’s LANDFALL with the coast that makes her exceptionally dangerous to NYC.  She is expected to come in with a hard left turn into central NJ, thus basically coming in perpendicular and continuing W – NW.  That is nearly unheard of, and what it will mean is that she will push a massive wall of water NORTH into NY Harbor & Long Island sound.

This is quite a combination of “worst-case scenarios” I’m afraid.  ANYONE IN A FLOOD ZONE needs to take extreme precautions and heed any evacuation orders!!

I’m not an expert, but I’ve been a hurricane geek for nearly 40 years, and I’ve been monitoring this storm nearly non-stop since Friday afternoon.

Please pay attention to NHC and NWC and local officials.  But please believe me that this is a storm that must be taken extremely seriously!

Bishopsgate and South Carolina

October 29, 2012

I believe in Christianity as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
C. S. Lewis

Dear Jesus,

We acknowledge You as our bright morning star. Would that all of us in the Episcopal Church and the Anglican Communion could see the disciplinary actions against the ten bishops through Your eyes, could speak with Your words, and could serve with Your hands and feet. Would that we could be a witness to Your goodness, Your righteousness, Your justice, and Your mercy.

We especially beseech You to shine Your face upon those dioceses whose bishops have been charged–Texas, Central Florida, Albany, Dallas, Western Louisiana, Springfield, and South Carolina–and upon Nashotah House.  Bring their hearts into alignment with Your heart so that Your light be reflected in their lives.  Amen.

Storm Surge – it keeps getting worse

October 29, 2012

Update: Apparently the color scale on these maps have changed since yesterday. Yesterday deep red = 16ft, today 10 ft. That’s very confusing, to say the least. But in any case, still, a HUGE swath of the Eastern seaboard is expecting 10ft plus storm surge / tides. That is going to be severe coastal flooding any which way you color it.

My hands are shaking as I type this – literally.  These storm surge projections just keep getting worse.  Truly the stuff of “worst case scenarios” for the east coast from near Delaware Bay to St. John’s Canada from what I can tell.  I’m not an expert, but from my years of following hurricanes, these look very very alarming.

Here’s the map for the full East Coast. No one’s been talking much of Maine or Canada, but this is looking severe up there.

Note: these are screen shots from my computer taken from the CERA site (Coastal Emergency Risk Assessment) as of 11:30 UTC Oct. 29.

Hurricane Sandy – just look at her size

October 29, 2012

From the National Hurricane Center (NHC) here is a map of the areas expected to be affected by at least Tropical Storm force winds. Just amazing. Last night there were tropical storm winds from Sandy in both North Carolina and Bermuda simultaneously – a situation that I believe is unheard of!

I’ll be posting more later.

Here’s the link to an excellent Hurricane Litany Prayer  which I first posted a few days ago.

For all the Lent & Beyond posts about Hurricane Sandy, follow this link.

Psalm 44:1-8

October 29, 2012

We have heard with our ears, O God, our fathers have told us, the deeds you did in their days, in days of old: (Psalm 44:1)
      Father, let each of our generations pass on to the next the great deeds you have done for us.

You drove out the nations with your hand, but them you planted; you afflicted the peoples, and cast them out. (Psalm 44:2)
      Father, thank you for establishing your people Israel in a land of their own. Give them wisdom and compassion as they deal with the surrounding peoples.

For they did not gain possession of the land by their own sword, nor did their own arm save them; but it was your right hand, your arm, and the light of your countenance, because you favored them. (Psalm 44:3)
      Jesus, please help us recognize that all that we have comes from your hand. There is nothing we have done or can do to merit your favor. You give it because you love us. Thank you.

You are my King, O God; command victories for Jacob. (Psalm 44:4)
      Jesus, command victory for Bishop Mark Lawrence and the Diocese of South Carolina.

Through you we will push down our enemies; through your name we will trample those who rise up against us. (Psalm 44:5)
      Father, please defeat the purposes of all those who plot and scheme against your faithful people.

For I will not trust in my bow, nor shall my sword save me. But you have saved us from our enemies, and have put to shame those who hated us. (Psalm 44:6-7)
      Holy Spirit, help us daily place our trust in Jesus and what he will do for us.

In God we boast all day long, and praise your name forever. (Psalm 44:8 )
      Jesus, we praise your name and bless you.

A word received 6/4/2009: Pray for this nation. Pray for wise and godly men and women who will lead my people in my ways. Pray for the courts, that they will do true justice. Pray for the Congress and the legislatures, that they will have a spirit of wisdom and discernment. Pray for the President and the Governors, that their hearts will be turned into my ways.

Monday: 41,52 * 44; Ecclus. 19:4-17: Rev. 11:1-14: Luke 11:14-26
Tuesday: 45 * 47,48; Ecclus. 24:1-12: Rev. 11:14-19: Luke 11:27-36

Albany Intercessor

Hurricane Sandy: State by State projected impact

October 29, 2012

Angela Fritz a respected blogger at Weather Underground (who often fills in for Dr. Jeff Masters) has posted a very helpful round up of expected winds and storm surge, etc., state by state.

Go check it out here

40 days for life

October 29, 2012

2 Corinthians 4:3-4 (AMP)

3 But even if our Gospel (the glad tidings) also be hidden (obscured and covered up with a veil that hinders the knowledge of God), it is hidden [only] to those who are perishing and obscured [only] to those who are spiritually dying and veiled [only] to those who are lost.

4 For the god of this world has blinded the unbelievers’ minds [that they should not discern the truth], preventing them from seeing the illuminating light of the Gospel of the glory of Christ (the Messiah), Who is the Image and Likeness of God.

O Father,
We in the West are shrouded in a veil of defilement, and we don’t even recognize the death of 54,000,000 unborn children, created in the image of God, as wrong.
Lord, have mercy.
Christ, have mercy.
Lord, have mercy.
Tear the veil of defilement and let the glory of Christ shine into this nation. Amen.

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